Polymarket
24.5¢ YES (-2.0 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Seat / electoral certification
- 1. Named primary resolution sourceRace calls by AP, Fox News, NBC (all must agree); official certification if they do not
- 2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneTue, Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (venue end date; the rules text states no explicit date or time) [America/New_York]
- 3. Action triggerSeat / Electoral Certification
- 4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackNo fallback or data-provider hierarchy stated in the rules. Trap: no stated deadline for uncalled races, recounts or court challenges; settlement can wait on c…
- 5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting; certified official results can lag media calls by weeks. Ven…