PolyTruthSpreads & whales
Where liquidity is thin and where prices moved without an official release. Large orderflow shows up here as unverified moves and volume spikes. PolyTruth reads public orderbooks only: it does not track or identify individual wallets.
Free preview covers the 3 featured markets. Unlock all tracked markets with Pro
- Sub-threshold move · no federalreserve.gov release
Contract moved +0.0 pp in 15m (0.1¢ → 0.1¢); last-hour volume 14.6× hourly average; 0 releases found on federalreserve.gov in window; spread 0.1¢; depth ±5¢ $3.2k bid / $4.1k ask.
- Sub-threshold move · no federalreserve.gov release
Contract moved +0.0 pp in 15m (0.1¢ → 0.1¢); last-hour volume 14.3× hourly average; 0 releases found on federalreserve.gov in window; spread 0.1¢; depth ±5¢ $3.2k bid / $4.2k ask.
- Sub-threshold move · no federalreserve.gov release
Contract moved +0.0 pp in 15m (0.1¢ → 0.1¢); last-hour volume 14.3× hourly average; 0 releases found on federalreserve.gov in window; spread 0.1¢; depth ±5¢ $3.2k bid / $4.2k ask.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?vol $182.7k · Δ24h -±5¢ Bid Wall $3Kspread 0.1¢BalancedAsk Wall $4K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?vol $509.2k · Δ24h -2.0±5¢ Bid Wall $48Kspread 1.0¢Ask-heavyAsk Wall $93K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?vol $404.6k · Δ24h +1.0±5¢ Bid Wall $1.9Mspread 1.0¢BalancedAsk Wall $1.4M
Spread and depth come from the public Polymarket CLOB orderbook (resting size within 5¢ of the midpoint). Standardized research, not a recommendation.