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Resolution-rule trap cards

A 5-point rule check for every tracked contract: who settles it, the deadline and time zone, what counts as Yes, backup rules, and where a same-name contract on another venue settles differently, plus buyers vs sellers near the price. The venue’s live rules always control.

Showing 529 to 552 of 1000 cards
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Vikings more than 99% and Colts less than 1% in “Spread: Vikings (-2.5)”. It rose 32 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Oklahoma State (-14.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Oklahoma State more than 99% and Colorado less than 1% in “Spread: Oklahoma State (-14.5)”. It rose 54 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Boise State (-8.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Boise State more than 99% and Washington State less than 1% in “Spread: Boise State (-8.5)”. It rose 35 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: La Liga officialFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More sellers (100%)Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of Levante UD winning on 2026-10-25 at less than 1%. It fell 17 points today, and there are more sellers than buyers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a lower price. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)La Liga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 1:30 PM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Sabres vs. Capitals

Polymarket

Named source: NHL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Sabres less than 1% and Capitals more than 99% in “Sabres vs. Capitals”. It fell 46 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NHL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Utah (-7.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Utah more than 99% and Houston less than 1% in “Spread: Utah (-7.5)”. It rose 55 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over more than 99% and Under less than 1% in “Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5”. It rose 39 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior ending in a draw at less than 1%. It fell 26 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 7:15 AM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 231.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More sellers (58%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over about 50% and Under about 51% in “Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 231.5”. It dipped 0.5 points today, and there are more sellers than buyers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a lower price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Polymarket

Source: Official statements + credible-reporting consensusFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More sellers (74%)Rule note: stated condition
The short version:Traders put the chance of Yossi Cohen being the next Prime Minister of Israel at less than 1%. There is no price change on record for today yet, and there are more sellers than buyers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a lower price. Low surprise risk: the condition as written settles it.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed)
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneTue, Oct 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (venue end date; settlement waits on race calls, hard deadline Fri, Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesStated Condition
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting; certified official results can lag media calls by weeks. Ven…
Full 5-point rule check →
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over less than 1% and Under more than 99% in “Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5”. There is no price change on record for today yet, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Texans (-2.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Texans about 54% and Giants about 47% in “Spread: Texans (-2.5)”. It fell 25 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More sellers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Panthers less than 1% and Buccaneers more than 99% in “Spread: Panthers (-3.5)”. It fell 41 points today, and there are more sellers than buyers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a lower price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over more than 99% and Under less than 1% in “Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5”. It rose 42 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will AZ win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (69%)Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of AZ winning on 2026-10-25 at about 31%. It fell 13 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 3:00 PM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over more than 99% and Under less than 1% in “Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5”. It rose 46 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over more than 99% and Under less than 1% in “Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5”. There is no price change on record for today yet, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky: O/U 51.5

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over less than 1% and Under more than 99% in “Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky: O/U 51.5”. It fell 51 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: North Carolina (-8.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give North Carolina less than 1% and Syracuse more than 99% in “Spread: North Carolina (-8.5)”. It fell 51 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: 49ers (-20.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More sellers (99%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give 49ers less than 1% and Falcons more than 99% in “Spread: 49ers (-20.5)”. It fell 6 points today, and there are more sellers than buyers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a lower price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of FC Lorient winning on 2026-10-25 at less than 1%. It fell 38 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 12:15 PM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Hornets more than 99% and Heat less than 1% in “Spread: Hornets (-1.5)”. There is no price change on record for today yet, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?

Polymarket

Named source: Bundesliga officialFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen ending in a draw at less than 1%. It fell 24 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Bundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 10:30 AM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Hornets more than 99% and Heat less than 1% in “Spread: Hornets (-2.5)”. There is no price change on record for today yet, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
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Resolution-Rule Cards · PolyTruth