PolyTruthPolyTruth

Resolution-rule trap cards

A 5-point rule check for every tracked contract: who settles it, the deadline and time zone, what counts as Yes, backup rules, and where a same-name contract on another venue settles differently, plus buyers vs sellers near the price. The venue’s live rules always control.

Showing 769 to 792 of 1000 cards
Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 38.5

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over more than 99% and Under less than 1% in “Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 38.5”. It rose 46 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Packers (-6.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Packers less than 1% and Lions more than 99% in “Spread: Packers (-6.5)”. It fell 18 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 4:25 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Spurs more than 99% and Mavericks less than 1% in “Spread: Spurs (-10.5)”. It rose 50 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. I…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give 76ers less than 1% and Pistons more than 99% in “Spread: 76ers (-3.5)”. There is no price change on record for today yet, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 225.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over more than 99% and Under less than 1% in “Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 225.5”. It rose 50 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of Standard Liege winning on 2026-10-25 at less than 1%. It fell 20 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 8:30 AM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-10-24?

Polymarket

Named source: MLS officialFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of Colorado Rapids SC winning on 2026-10-24 at more than 99%. It rose 69 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)MLS official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 9:30 PM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Seahawks more than 99% and Chiefs less than 1% in “Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)”. It rose 57 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 8:20 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Browns (-4.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Browns less than 1% and Titans more than 99% in “Spread: Browns (-4.5)”. It fell 37 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of Kawasaki Frontale winning on 2026-10-25 at more than 99%. It rose 54 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 3:00 AM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over less than 1% and Under more than 99% in “Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5”. It fell 34 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 4:05 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over more than 99% and Under less than 1% in “Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5”. It rose 51 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Fed interest-rate decision: December 8 to 9, 2026 FOMC meeting (with SEP)

Polymarket ↔ Kalshi

.gov source: federalreserve.govFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More sellers (65%)Rule note: the announcement counts
The short version:Traders put the chance of a quarter-point Fed rate hike after the December 2026 meeting at about 77%. It dipped 1 point today, and there are more sellers than buyers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a lower price. Low surprise risk: the Fed’s announcement settles it.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)FOMC post-meeting statement (Federal Reserve Board)
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneFOMC statement scheduled for 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 (with Summary of Economic Projections; press conference at 2:30 PM ET). [America/New_Yor…
  3. 3. What counts as YesAnnounced
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)Polymarket: no statement by the end date of the next scheduled meeting → "No change". Note the baseline is the level immediately prior to the December meeting,…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCommon trap: traders treat "Fed cuts in December" (change vs. pre-meeting level) and "Fed funds upper bound at or below X after December" (level) as the same c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Grizzlies more than 99% and Kings less than 1% in “Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)”. It rose 63 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 9:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If th…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Bengals more than 99% and Ravens less than 1% in “Spread: Bengals (-1.5)”. It rose 44 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Giants (-3.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Giants more than 99% and Texans less than 1% in “Spread: Giants (-3.5)”. It rose 88 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of Club Alianza Lima winning on 2026-10-25 at more than 99%. It rose 37 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 2:15 PM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Polymarket

Named source: Serie A officialFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of US Lecce vs. Juventus FC ending in a draw at less than 1%. It fell 22 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Serie A official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 1:00 PM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Knicks less than 1% and Magic more than 99% in “Spread: Knicks (-8.5)”. It fell 49 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 7:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If th…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5

Polymarket

Named source: NHL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Over more than 99% and Under less than 1% in “Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5”. It rose 51 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NHL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: More buyers (100%)Rule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Timberwolves more than 99% and Raptors less than 1% in “Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)”. It rose 85 points today, and there are more buyers than sellers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a higher price. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 7:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Cavaliers less than 1% and Nets more than 99% in “Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)”. It fell 42 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Spread: Rams (-14.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: full game including overtime
The short version:Traders give Rams less than 1% and Raiders more than 99% in “Spread: Rams (-14.5)”. It fell 17 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 4:25 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…
Full 5-point rule check →
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsFine-print risk: Low (20/100)
Buyers vs sellers: too little tradingRule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles No
The short version:Traders put the chance of CD Tolima winning on 2026-10-25 at less than 1%. It fell 67 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other. Low surprise risk: the official result after 90 minutes settles it, and extra time does not count.
  1. 1. Who settles it (official source)Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
  2. 2. Deadline and time zoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 9:15 PM ET) [unspecified]
  3. 3. What counts as YesMatch / Game Final
  4. 4. Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
  5. 5. Fine print and other venuesCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…
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Resolution-Rule Cards · PolyTruth