Resolution-rule trap cards

Autonomous 5-point settlement & signal audits for every tracked contract: named source, cutoff timestamp and timezone, action trigger, delay/cancellation/revision fallback, and where a same-name contract on another venue settles differently, plus the tape and rule lean. The venue’s live rules always control.

All Cards (316)High Trap Risk (score ≥ 50) (1)Cross-Venue Diffs (5)Official .gov Sources (6)

Showing 25–48 of 316 cards

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Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Polymarket

Named source: AP + Fox News + NBC race callsLow Trap Risk (25/100)

Tape Lean: No (71% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Seat / Electoral Certification

82¢ YES (-0.5 pp 24h) · Orderbook 71% ask-heavy ($90.4k vs $37.5k) · Seat / electoral certification

1. Named primary resolution sourceRace calls by AP, Fox News, NBC (all must agree); official certification if they do not
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneTue, Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (venue end date; the rules text states no explicit date or time) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerSeat / Electoral Certification
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackNo fallback or data-provider hierarchy stated in the rules. Trap: no stated deadline for uncalled races, recounts or court challenges; settlement can wait on c…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting; certified official results can lag media calls by weeks. Ven…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Wizards vs. Bulls

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Wizards (+48.4 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Ole Miss vs. Texas

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Texas (100% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ Ole Miss (-41.4 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% ask-heavy ($1.2k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the gam…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: 76ers (-12.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Bucks (100% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ 76ers (n/a 24h) · Orderbook 100% ask-heavy ($713 vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If th…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Pelicans vs. Nuggets

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Nuggets (72% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

32.5¢ Pelicans (+14.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 72% ask-heavy ($632 vs $252) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Rockets vs. Hawks

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Rockets (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Rockets (+53.9 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($709.6k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Bucks vs. 76ers

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: 76ers (100% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ Bucks (-15.4 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% ask-heavy ($675 vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Warriors vs. Suns

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Suns (57% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

10.5¢ Warriors (-24.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 57% ask-heavy ($6.9k vs $5.2k) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

5.2¢ Nuggets (-43.8 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spurs vs. Mavericks

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Spurs (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Spurs (+19.4 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($260.6k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Bulls (-1.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ Bulls (-45.0 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Syracuse vs. North Carolina

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Syracuse (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Syracuse (+74.5 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($153.9k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the gam…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

San Diego State vs. Colorado State

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ San Diego State (-51.4 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the gam…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Fed interest-rate decision: October 27 to 28, 2026 FOMC meeting

Polymarket ↔ Kalshi

.gov source: federalreserve.govLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: No (66% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Announcement Is Enough

4.5¢ YES (-2.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 66% ask-heavy ($93.4k vs $48.4k) · Announcement settles it

1. Named primary resolution sourceFOMC post-meeting statement (Federal Reserve Board)
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneFOMC statement scheduled for 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, October 28, 2026; Polymarket market page displays endDate 2026-10-29T03:59:00Z (11:59 PM ET Oct 28). [Ame…
3. Action triggerAnnounced
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackPolymarket: no statement by the end date of the next scheduled meeting → resolves "No change". Changes not shown in the options are rounded UP to the nearest 2…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapPolymarket measures the CHANGE in the UPPER BOUND vs. the pre-meeting level, with round-up-to-25 bps; Kalshi strikes may reference the target level/range direc…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-24?

Polymarket

Named source: MLS officialLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Yes (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Regulation 90m Only · Draws Settle NO

100¢ YES (+56.5 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($278.1k vs $0) · Regulation 90m only

1. Named primary resolution sourceMLS official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 9:30 PM ET) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Nets vs. Cavaliers

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ Nets (-18.4 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ Cavaliers (-46.5 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Houston vs. Utah: O/U 57.5

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Under (93% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

4¢ Over (-44.5 pp 24h) · Orderbook 93% ask-heavy ($604 vs $42) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-24?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: No (100% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Regulation 90m Only · Draws Settle NO

0.1¢ YES (-24.4 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% ask-heavy ($532 vs $0) · Regulation 90m only

1. Named primary resolution sourceOfficial statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 9:00 PM ET) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Spurs (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Spurs (+56.5 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($314.7k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. I…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-24?

Polymarket

Named source: MLS officialLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Regulation 90m Only · Draws Settle NO

0.1¢ YES (-65.5 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Regulation 90m only

1. Named primary resolution sourceMLS official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 7:30 PM ET) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Spurs (-14.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Spurs (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Spurs (+59.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($283.6k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. I…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Over (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Over (+44.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($373.2k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Oklahoma State (-13.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Oklahoma State (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Oklahoma State (+50.4 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($273.6k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Showing 25–48 of 316 cards

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Resolution-Rule Cards · PolyTruth