Resolution-rule trap cards

Autonomous 5-point settlement & signal audits for every tracked contract: named source, cutoff timestamp and timezone, action trigger, delay/cancellation/revision fallback, and where a same-name contract on another venue settles differently, plus the tape and rule lean. The venue’s live rules always control.

All Cards (997)High Trap Risk (score ≥ 50) (2)Cross-Venue Diffs (5)Official .gov Sources (17)

Showing 289 to 312 of 997 cards

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Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: Premier League officialLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: No (73% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Regulation 90m Only · Draws Settle NO

30.5¢ YES (n/a 24h) · Orderbook 73% ask-heavy ($134.2k vs $50.2k) · Regulation 90m only

1. Named primary resolution sourcePremier League official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 10:00 AM ET) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…

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Spread: Jets (-4.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

48.5¢ Jets (-1.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 53% bid-heavy ($454.3k vs $404.3k) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

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Lakers vs. Jazz

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

68.5¢ Lakers (-1.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 55% bid-heavy ($61.0k vs $50.6k) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-24?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Regulation 90m Only · Draws Settle NO

0.1¢ YES (-18.4 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Regulation 90m only

1. Named primary resolution sourceOfficial statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 5:30 PM ET) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: 76ers (-13.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ 76ers (n/a 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If th…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Suns (-8.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Suns (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Suns (+55.5 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($36.2k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?

Polymarket

Named source: MLS officialLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Regulation 90m Only · Draws Settle NO

0.1¢ YES (-43.5 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Regulation 90m only

1. Named primary resolution sourceMLS official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 10:30 PM ET) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Spurs (-16.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Mavericks (100% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ Spurs (-35.4 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% ask-heavy ($1.1k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. I…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Seahawks (80% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

26.5¢ Seahawks (+1.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 80% bid-heavy ($72.3k vs $18.4k) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 8:20 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Louisiana vs. Southern Miss

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ Louisiana (-77.5 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the gam…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: Bundesliga officialLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: No (54% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Regulation 90m Only · Draws Settle NO

64.5¢ YES (-7.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 54% ask-heavy ($101.1k vs $85.1k) · Regulation 90m only

1. Named primary resolution sourceBundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 12:30 PM ET) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?

Polymarket

Named source: Premier League officialLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: No (77% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Regulation 90m Only · Draws Settle NO

45.5¢ YES (n/a 24h) · Orderbook 77% ask-heavy ($296.0k vs $86.4k) · Regulation 90m only

1. Named primary resolution sourcePremier League official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSun, Oct 25, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 10:00 AM ET) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Fed interest-rate decision: December 8 to 9, 2026 FOMC meeting (with SEP)

Polymarket ↔ Kalshi

.gov source: federalreserve.govLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: No (65% Ask Depth)Rules Lean: Announcement Is Enough

76.5¢ YES (+2.5 pp 24h) · Orderbook 65% ask-heavy ($132.1k vs $70.1k) · Announcement settles it

1. Named primary resolution sourceFOMC post-meeting statement (Federal Reserve Board)
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneFOMC statement scheduled for 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 (with Summary of Economic Projections; press conference at 2:30 PM ET). [America/New_Yor…
3. Action triggerAnnounced
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackPolymarket: no statement by the end date of the next scheduled meeting → "No change". Note the baseline is the level immediately prior to the December meeting,…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCommon trap: traders treat "Fed cuts in December" (change vs. pre-meeting level) and "Fed funds upper bound at or below X after December" (level) as the same c…

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Spread: Bengals (-2.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Bengals (64% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

53.5¢ Bengals (+8.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 64% bid-heavy ($178.7k vs $101.6k) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

49.5¢ Over (-1.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 53% bid-heavy ($125.6k vs $112.0k) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 4:25 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Kentucky (-10.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Kentucky (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Kentucky (+48.9 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($7.7k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Titans (-3.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NFL official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Titans (66% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

33.5¢ Titans (+0.5 pp 24h) · Orderbook 66% bid-heavy ($51.5k vs $27.0k) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: New Mexico (-4.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: New Mexico (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ New Mexico (+50.4 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($102.2k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ Vanderbilt (-20.4 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the gam…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Polymarket

Source: Official statements + credible-reporting consensusLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Yes (70% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Stated Condition

51.3¢ YES (-0.1 pp 24h) · Orderbook 70% bid-heavy ($75.6k vs $31.7k) · Stated condition

1. Named primary resolution sourceOfficial government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed)
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneTue, Oct 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (venue end date; settlement waits on race calls, hard deadline Fri, Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerStated Condition
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting; certified official results can lag media calls by weeks. Ven…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5

Polymarket

Named source: NBA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Balanced Two-Sided BookRules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

0.1¢ Over (-46.0 pp 24h) · thin ±5¢ book · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this total includes overtime), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Spread: Arizona (-10.5)

Polymarket

Named source: NCAA official (implied)Low Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Arizona (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Full Game Including Overtime

100¢ Arizona (+48.9 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($47.1k vs $0) · Full game incl. overtime

1. Named primary resolution sourceThe rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (scheduled start) [America/New_York]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and c…

Full 5-point card & signal →

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?

Polymarket

Named source: Election CommissionLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Yes (90% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Seat / Electoral Certification · Timezone Unstated

43.5¢ YES (+22.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 90% bid-heavy ($5.8k vs $631) · Seat / electoral certification

1. Named primary resolution sourceOfficial election authority (Election Commission)
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneTue, Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM (venue end date; settlement waits on race calls) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerSeat / Electoral Certification
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Elec…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting with Election Commission deciding if ambiguous; certified off…

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Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-24?

Polymarket

Named source: Official league statsLow Trap Risk (20/100)

Tape Lean: Yes (100% Bid Depth)Rules Lean: Regulation 90m Only · Draws Settle NO

100¢ YES (+43.0 pp 24h) · Orderbook 100% bid-heavy ($127.3k vs $0) · Regulation 90m only

1. Named primary resolution sourceOfficial statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort
2. Cutoff date, time & timezoneSat, Oct 24, 2026 (scheduled start; start time not in rules, venue lists 5:30 PM ET) [unspecified]
3. Action triggerMatch / Game Final
4. Delay / cancellation / revision fallbackIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market w…
5. Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trapCross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponem…

Full 5-point card & signal →

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Resolution-Rule Cards · PolyTruth