Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Named source: dadosabertos.tse.jus.br · End date Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗
The short version
How to read this pageTraders put the chance of Flávio Bolsonaro winning the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8% at about 6%.
It dipped 2 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other.
No contract rules are on file yet, so the fine print has not been checked.
Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. Not advice and not a recommendation.
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The details
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- Official source: settlement runs on Official election authority (dadosabertos.tse.jus.br). Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
- Fine print: No contract text is on file, so the settlement trigger cannot be checked.
Source named: dadosabertos.tse.jus.br (not a tracked official feed, no release history)
Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.
Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price history and every recorded move here.
See ProNo rules text is available for this market yet, so no 5-point card could be drafted.