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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?

Named source: Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures · End date Oct 31, 11:59 PM ET · Live market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October? · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

How to read this page

Traders put the chance of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hitting (LOW) $100 in October at about 62%.

It dipped 3 points today, and there are more buy orders than sell orders waiting near the price right now.

Low surprise risk: a single 1-minute touch of the price level counts, even if it reverses right away.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. Not advice and not a recommendation.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
1m Candle High/Low Touch

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles for the ICE Futures active-month contract (ice.com trading hours apply) (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles Yes if any single 1-minute candle high or low touches the strike price, even if the price reverses right away. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (venue end date. Polymarket reads Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures intraday prints for the active-month contract, so one 1-minute wick can count.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price history and every recorded move here.

See Pro

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Named source: Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures
Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 20
1.
Who settles it (official source)
Pyth 1-minute candles for the ICE Futures active-month contract (ice.com trading hours apply) (pyth.network) · https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures
2.
Deadline and time zone
Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (venue end date; the rules text states no explicit date or time) America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
1m Candle High/Low TouchResolves the moment a single 1-minute candle on Pyth prints a High/Low at or beyond the level, even a brief wick. Prices on other exchanges, pairs or indexes do not count, and it can settle before the end date. Rule text: "…rket creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resol…"
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected).
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket reads Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures intraday prints for the active-month contract, so one 1-minute wick can count. Contracts that settle on an exchange's official daily settlement price can come out differently on the same day; also check how each venue handles the contract roll and holiday trading hours.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?: resolution rules & settlement traps · PolyTruth