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Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

.gov source: federalregister.gov · End date Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · Live market: Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

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Traders give Yes about 32% on “Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028”.

It rose 9 points today, and there is too little trading near the price to say whether buyers or sellers outnumber the other.

Low surprise risk: the Federal Register settles it based on the condition as written.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. Not advice and not a recommendation.

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The details

Rule note: seat / electoral certificationSettled by .gov source: federalregister.gov
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
Seat / Electoral Certification

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  • Official source: settlement runs on Federal Register / Congress.gov. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on a "Seat / Electoral Certification" trigger with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Sun, Dec 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET (date from market title) Deadline: Sun, Dec 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET (date from market title). Kalshi lists contracts on many of the same releases.

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Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

.gov source: federalregister.gov
Fine-print risk: Low (15/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 15
1.
Who settles it (official source)
Federal Register / Congress.gov · https://www.federalregister.gov/
2.
Deadline and time zone
Sun, Dec 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET (date from market title) America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
Seat / Electoral CertificationSettles on official seat/vote results as reported and certified; recounts or court challenges can delay settlement past election night. Rule text: "…election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effec…"
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify.
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Kalshi lists contracts on many of the same releases. Compare whether each venue settles on the initial print or a revised figure, the cutoff timezone (Kalshi contract terms are in ET), and what happens if a government shutdown delays the release.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Louisiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Louisiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?: resolution rules & settlement traps · PolyTruth