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Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Named source: francefootball.fr · End date Oct 26, 11:59 PM ET · Live market: Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

How to read this page

Traders put the chance of Erling Haaland winning the 2026 Ballon d'Or at less than 1%.

There is no price change on record for today yet, and there are more sellers than buyers near the price right now, so the order book is weighted toward a lower price.

Low surprise risk: the condition as written settles it.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. Not advice and not a recommendation.

Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

The details

Rule note: stated conditionSettled by francefootball.fr
Fine-print risk
Low (0/100)
Stated Condition

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Named URL in rules: francefootball.fr. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the condition as written with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (deadline) Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (deadline). If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback.

Source named: francefootball.fr (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price history and every recorded move here.

See Pro

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Named source: francefootball.fr
Fine-print risk: Low (0/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 0
1.
Who settles it (official source)
Named URL in rules: francefootball.fr · https://www.francefootball.fr/
2.
Deadline and time zone
Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (deadline) America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
Stated ConditionResolution condition as written: "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or."
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback; Polymarket disputes go to the UMA Optimistic Oracle while Kalshi follows CFTC-filed contract terms.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?: resolution rules & settlement traps · PolyTruth