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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

Named source: dadosabertos.tse.jus.br · End date Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

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The PolyTruth Read: Official Data & Tape Lean

Tape Lean: ProRules Lean: No Rules on FileGoverned by dadosabertos.tse.jus.br
Market Implied Odds
Pro
live price on Pro
Orderbook Pressure (±5¢)
Pro
depth read on Pro
Resolution Hurdle & Trap Risk
-
no rules on file
  • Official source & catalyst check: settlement runs on Official election authority (dadosabertos.tse.jus.br). Official election authority (dadosabertos.tse.jus.br); publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Settlement edge / trap to watch: No contract text is on file, so the settlement trigger cannot be checked.

Source named: dadosabertos.tse.jus.br (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

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Live price, CLOB chart & orderbook depthPro

Live prices, 15-minute deltas, orderbook depth, and move attribution for this market are on Pro.

See Pro

No rules text is available for this market yet, so no 5-point card could be drafted.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?: resolution rules & settlement traps · PolyTruth