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Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No source named in rules · End date Jan 1, 12:00 AM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

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The PolyTruth Read: Official Data & Tape Lean

Tape Lean: ProRules Lean: Stated ConditionNo Source Named
Market Implied Odds
Pro
live price on Pro
Orderbook Pressure (±5¢)
Pro
depth read on Pro
Resolution Hurdle & Trap Risk
Moderate Trap Risk (35/100)
Stated Condition
  • Official source & catalyst check: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Settlement edge / trap to watch: Settles on the condition as written with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Fri, Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (deadline) Cutoff: Fri, Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (deadline). If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback.

No resolution source named in the rules

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Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Polymarket

No source named in rules
Moderate Trap Risk (35/100)
  1. Source
  2. Cutoff TZ
  3. Trigger
  4. Fallback
  5. Cross-Venue
Trap risk Moderate 35
1.
Named primary resolution source
No resolution source named in the rules text
2.
Cutoff date, timestamp & timezone
Fri, Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (deadline) America/New_York
3.
Action trigger
Stated ConditionResolution condition as written: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch."
4.
Delay / cancellation / revision fallback
No fallback or data-provider hierarchy stated in the rules. Trap: if the outcome is unclear at the end date, resolution goes to a UMA Optimistic Oracle proposal and dispute.
5.
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback; Polymarket disputes go to the UMA Optimistic Oracle while Kalshi follows CFTC-filed contract terms.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?: resolution rules & settlement traps · PolyTruth