Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 25?

Named source: binance.com (1m candle) · End date Oct 25, 12:00 PM ET · Live market: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 25? · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

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The PolyTruth Read: Official Data & Tape Lean

Tape Lean: ProRules Lean: Favors NO on Intraday SpikesGoverned by binance.com (1m candle)

Market Implied Odds

Pro

live price on Pro

Orderbook Pressure (±5¢)

Pro

depth read on Pro

Resolution Hurdle & Trap Risk

Low Trap Risk (15/100)

Timestamp Candle Close

Official source & catalyst check: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored; updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Settlement edge / trap to watch: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Cutoff: Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (date from market title). Polymarket resolves on a single exchange source (binance.com (1m candle), 1m candle Close).

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public orderbook, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data; it is not a recommendation to buy or sell. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, CLOB chart & orderbook depthPro

Live prices, 15-minute deltas, orderbook depth, and move attribution for this market are on Pro.

See Pro

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 25?

Polymarket

Named source: binance.com (1m candle)

Low Trap Risk (15/100)

Source
Cutoff TZ
Trigger
Fallback
Cross-Venue

Trap risk Low 15

Named primary resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored · https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Cutoff date, timestamp & timezone

Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (date from market title) America/New_York

Action trigger

Timestamp Candle CloseOnly the final "Close" of the single 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle at the stated timestamp counts. Earlier spikes or dips during the day do not matter. Rule text: "This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:0…"

Delay / cancellation / revision fallback

No fallback or data-provider hierarchy stated in the rules. Trap: settlement depends on a single source (binance.com (1m candle)); if that feed or chart is down, or prints an outlier wick, there is no stated backup index and the outcome goes to UMA dispute.

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket resolves on a single exchange source (binance.com (1m candle), 1m candle Close). Most Kalshi crypto price contracts (e.g. KXBTC / KXBTCD) settle on a CF Benchmarks index such as the Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), averaged over the 60 seconds before the stated time across multiple spot exchanges. A brief binance.com USDT wick can settle Polymarket YES while Kalshi settles NO.

Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.