Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Source: Credible-reporting consensus · End date Jun 2, 11:59 PM ET · Live market: Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

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The PolyTruth Read: Official Data & Tape Lean

Tape Lean: ProRules Lean: Observed Event · Timezone UnstatedConsensus Source (No Single Feed)

Market Implied Odds

Pro

live price on Pro

Orderbook Pressure (±5¢)

Pro

depth read on Pro

Resolution Hurdle & Trap Risk

Moderate Trap Risk (30/100)

Observed Event

Official source & catalyst check: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider); has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Settlement edge / trap to watch: Settles on a "Observed Event" trigger with no stated cutoff timezone. Cutoff: Tue, Jun 2, 2026 (election day) Cutoff: Tue, Jun 2, 2026 (election day) (timezone not stated). Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

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Live price, CLOB chart & orderbook depthPro

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Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Polymarket

Source: Credible-reporting consensus

Moderate Trap Risk (30/100)

Source
Cutoff TZ
Trigger
Fallback
Cross-Venue

Trap risk Moderate 30

Named primary resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider)

Cutoff date, timestamp & timezone

Tue, Jun 2, 2026 (election day) unspecified

Action trigger

Observed EventSettles when the described event is observed and reported by the named source. Rule text: "…6. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market…"

Delay / cancellation / revision fallback

If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting; certified official results can lag media calls by weeks. Venues that settle only on certified results can resolve later, or differently if recounts change the outcome.

Rules text on file (Polymarket)

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.