Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Source: Credible-reporting consensus

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The PolyTruth Read: Official Data & Tape Lean

Tape Lean: No Live BookRules Lean: Stated ConditionConsensus Source (No Single Feed)

No live price yet · Stated condition

Market Implied Odds

no live price

Orderbook Pressure (±5¢)

no orderbook read

Resolution Hurdle & Trap Risk

Moderate Trap Risk (30/100)

Stated Condition

Market pricing & flow: no live Polymarket price or orderbook is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source & catalyst check: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider); has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Settlement edge / trap to watch: Settles on the condition as written with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (date from market title) Cutoff: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (date from market title). If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

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Live price, CLOB chart & orderbook depthPro

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Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Polymarket

Source: Credible-reporting consensus

Moderate Trap Risk (30/100)

Source
Cutoff TZ
Trigger
Fallback
Cross-Venue

Trap risk Moderate 30

Named primary resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider) · https://x.com/extendedapp

Cutoff date, timestamp & timezone

Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (date from market title) America/New_York

Action trigger

Stated ConditionResolution condition as written: "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title."

Delay / cancellation / revision fallback

No fallback or data-provider hierarchy stated in the rules. Trap: if the outcome is unclear at the end date, resolution goes to a UMA Optimistic Oracle proposal and dispute.

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback; Polymarket disputes go to the UMA Optimistic Oracle while Kalshi follows CFTC-filed contract terms.

Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.