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Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Named source: AP + Fox News + NBC race calls · End date Nov 7, 11:59 PM ET · Live market: Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

The PolyTruth Read: Official Data & Tape Lean

Tape Lean: ProRules Lean: Seat / Electoral Certification · Timezone UnstatedGoverned by AP + Fox News + NBC race calls
Market Implied Odds
Pro
live price on Pro
Orderbook Pressure (±5¢)
Pro
depth read on Pro
Resolution Hurdle & Trap Risk
Moderate Trap Risk (30/100)
Seat / Electoral Certification
  • Official source & catalyst check: settlement runs on Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC (all must agree). Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC (all must agree); calls races on and after election night. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Settlement edge / trap to watch: Settles on a "Seat / Electoral Certification" trigger with no stated cutoff timezone. Cutoff: Tue, Nov 7, 2028 (election day) Cutoff: Tue, Nov 7, 2028 (election day) (timezone not stated). Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting.

Source named: AP + Fox News + NBC race calls (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public orderbook, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data; it is not a recommendation to buy or sell. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, CLOB chart & orderbook depthPro

Live prices, 15-minute deltas, orderbook depth, and move attribution for this market are on Pro.

See Pro

Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

Named source: AP + Fox News + NBC race calls
Moderate Trap Risk (30/100)
  1. Source
  2. Cutoff TZ
  3. Trigger
  4. Fallback
  5. Cross-Venue
Trap risk Moderate 30
1.
Named primary resolution source
Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC (all must agree)
2.
Cutoff date, timestamp & timezone
Tue, Nov 7, 2028 (election day) unspecified
3.
Action trigger
Seat / Electoral CertificationSettles on official seat/vote results as reported and certified; recounts or court challenges can delay settlement past election night. Rule text: "…s, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called…"
4.
Delay / cancellation / revision fallback
No fallback or data-provider hierarchy stated in the rules. Trap: no stated deadline for uncalled races, recounts or court challenges; settlement can wait on certification, and media calls can conflict with official results.
5.
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting; certified official results can lag media calls by weeks. Venues that settle only on certified results can resolve later, or differently if recounts change the outcome.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?: resolution rules & settlement traps · PolyTruth