Hurricanes vs. Blues

.gov source: nhc.noaa.gov

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The PolyTruth Read: Official Data & Tape Lean

Tape Lean: No Live BookRules Lean: Observed EventOfficial Feed Active (NHC)

No live price yet · Observed event

Market Implied Odds

no live price

Orderbook Pressure (±5¢)

no orderbook read

Resolution Hurdle & Trap Risk

Low Trap Risk (10/100)

Observed Event

Market pricing & flow: no live Polymarket price or orderbook is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source & catalyst check: settlement runs on NOAA National Hurricane Center. Latest NHC release: "There are no tropical cyclones at this time.".
Settlement edge / trap to watch: Settles on a "Observed Event" trigger with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET Cutoff: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. Kalshi lists contracts on many of the same releases.

Latest Official Agency Releases (NHC)

Standardized read of public orderbook, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data; it is not a recommendation to buy or sell. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, CLOB chart & orderbook depthPro

This card is not linked to a tracked market.

Hurricanes vs. Blues

Polymarket

.gov source: nhc.noaa.gov

Low Trap Risk (10/100)

Source
Cutoff TZ
Trigger
Fallback
Cross-Venue

Trap risk Low 10

Named primary resolution source

NOAA National Hurricane Center · https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Cutoff date, timestamp & timezone

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET America/New_York

Action trigger

Observed EventSettles when the described event is observed and reported by the named source. Rule text: "…e, scheduled for October 24 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the Blues win,…"

Delay / cancellation / revision fallback

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Kalshi lists contracts on many of the same releases. Compare whether each venue settles on the initial print or a revised figure, the cutoff timezone (Kalshi contract terms are in ET), and what happens if a government shutdown delays the release.

Rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.