Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley

Named source: ATP official · End date Nov 1, 7:00 AM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

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The PolyTruth Read: Official Data & Tape Lean

Tape Lean: ProRules Lean: Full Game Including OvertimeGoverned by ATP official

Market Implied Odds

Pro

live price on Pro

Orderbook Pressure (±5¢)

Pro

depth read on Pro

Resolution Hurdle & Trap Risk

Low Trap Risk (10/100)

Match / Game Final

Official source & catalyst check: settlement runs on ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort. ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort; posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Settlement edge / trap to watch: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Cutoff: Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 AM ET (scheduled start). Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Source named: ATP official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public orderbook, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data; it is not a recommendation to buy or sell. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, CLOB chart & orderbook depthPro

Live prices, 15-minute deltas, orderbook depth, and move attribution for this market are on Pro.

See Pro

Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley

Polymarket

Named source: ATP official

Low Trap Risk (10/100)

Source
Cutoff TZ
Trigger
Fallback
Cross-Venue

Trap risk Low 10

Named primary resolution source

ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort

Cutoff date, timestamp & timezone

Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 AM ET (scheduled start); hard deadline Sun, Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET America/New_York

Action trigger

Match / Game FinalOfficial final result of the match; forfeits and walkovers follow the special rules stated. Rule text: "This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Jacob Fearnley in the Erste Bank Open, Q…"

Delay / cancellation / revision fallback

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Jacob Fearnley in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.